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Tropical Development Possible In Gulf's Bay of Campeche

UPDATED 12:15 PM EST, June 6, 2014

By WeatherBug Sr. Meteorologist, James West

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The hurricane season, less than a week old, may have its first system taking shape in the southwestern Bay of Campeche. Its tropical downpours could bring flash flooding and mud slides to southeastern and eastern Mexico over the next several days.

An area of low pressure has been sitting over the southern Bay of Campeche - - the southwestern arm of the Gulf of Mexico - - for the past several days. Satellite images this morning show a burst of thunderstorms associated with this system, signs that this system could be trying to organize into the Atlantic Hurricane season`s first tropical depression. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 70 percent chance of forming into at least a tropical depression during the next day or so.

This system is battling upper-level winds and its close proximity to the Mexico mainland. This will likely stifle its development as it begins to push northwestward into Mexico this weekend. The chance of it growing into a hurricane or even a tropical storm is very small. The biggest threat will be heavy rain triggering flash flooding and mud slides across southeastern and eastern Mexico. It will not be a threat to the U.S.

Now is the time for all Americans living near and along the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Coast to begin preparing for the 2014 hurricane season ahead. Be sure to create and update a hurricane emergency plan and make sure the hurricane emergency kit is stocked with fresh provisions.

Click here for more information about preparations you can do today.

Be sure to check back with WeatherBug throughout the 2014 Hurricane Season for the latest on any tropical developments. Get the latest updates anywhere on Twitter at WeatherBug.

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